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governor romney taking the lead in the polls in the latest pew polls governor romney leading president obama 49% to 45%. now last month he trailed by eight points. so can governor romney keep the momentum going or is he just on a political roller coaster? former senator fred thompson joins us. good evening, sir. >> good evening. >> greta: the republicans are dancing right now, but i wouldn't measure the drapes yet. >> no, no. still got a lot of campaign to go. but i think that for the first time people got a chance to see mitt romney and a little closer look at barack obama. you know, he hasn't been in that setting in a long time. i wasn't really surprised either case. nobody's ever accused romney of -- i mean obama of being a great debater. his only eloquence is off the teleprompter, in which he's very good at delivering a set piece, but not in that format. romney, on the other hand, has gotten better and better over several years, and down in florida is a good example of what he did, you know. he's been called everything and faced with every kind of issue imaginable. you know, he's a
governor romney taking the lead in the polls in the latest pew polls governor romney leading president obama 49% to 45%. now last month he trailed by eight points. so can governor romney keep the momentum going or is he just on a political roller coaster? former senator fred thompson joins us. good evening, sir. >> good evening. >> greta: the republicans are dancing right now, but i wouldn't measure the drapes yet. >> no, no. still got a lot of campaign to go. but i think that...
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public policy polling today, they left leaning polling has governor romney with a 2. lead nationally, the first time that gov hegovernor had a lead in thl all year, and rasmussen report, average of poll rults with 11 swing states, including florida, michigan, ohio and pennsylvania, shows governor romney up on the president 49 to 47%. president obama has held the lead in poll for 17 of previous 19 days, that is all changed. we take all of that up here tonight. we'll talk with republican national committee communication director shawn spicer, wall street legend, louis lehrman, and fdic chair sheila bair is joining us, our first guest said that republican ground game, is beginning to show impressive results, absentee and early voting operation is now in full gear. and enthusiasm on the side of governor romney with just those 28 days remaining, joining us now is shawn spicer, republican national committee, communications director, you have to be delearous when you look at poll results in my career, i have never seen a one-week reversal like this. >> it is phenomenal, i th
public policy polling today, they left leaning polling has governor romney with a 2. lead nationally, the first time that gov hegovernor had a lead in thl all year, and rasmussen report, average of poll rults with 11 swing states, including florida, michigan, ohio and pennsylvania, shows governor romney up on the president 49 to 47%. president obama has held the lead in poll for 17 of previous 19 days, that is all changed. we take all of that up here tonight. we'll talk with republican national...
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now, romney with the lead, 49-47 of likely voters in a glial lineup poll. things have swung dramatically. last night i told you colorado and ohio are still comfortably in president obama's camp and if they are nothing to worry about. new poll out, american research group, colorado, romney up by four. oops! >> ohio, as how goes the country goes? oh no! 48-47 romney in the lead in ohio at least according to american research group. all right, well, now conservatives have gotten so confident and cocky, they're calling the election. >> the reason i think it's over of course, i thought it was over last week and the week before. romney's going to win. part of the evidence is this was the most watched debate since 1980 when reagan ran against carter and there was only one debate that year. what happened that year? that was the first time in the last 100 years republicans took out an incumbent. >> they're calling it. let's see how it turns out. fox late in the day said you know what, we've got a new map of our projections. that looks awfully red doesn't it? >> that
now, romney with the lead, 49-47 of likely voters in a glial lineup poll. things have swung dramatically. last night i told you colorado and ohio are still comfortably in president obama's camp and if they are nothing to worry about. new poll out, american research group, colorado, romney up by four. oops! >> ohio, as how goes the country goes? oh no! 48-47 romney in the lead in ohio at least according to american research group. all right, well, now conservatives have gotten so confident...
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a new pew poll, showing mitt romney, jumping 4 points ahead. to pat goodell, a game changer, thank you for joining us, what do you make of this idea. do the debates matter or not in chances of someone winning the election? >> they do matter a great dial, this is biggest singleebate in helping a candidate since ronald reagan. it was one debate, in carter in '76 they proved people were comfortable to him becoming president. less:liz: said no more presidel debates. >> that is right, until 1976, i remember i went did the research, getting ready for 76 debate, i assume like everyone else legend was that kennedy won first debate big and moved polls a lot, he had not, he moved them a few points but he got what i call credibility threshold. the reason that romney is doing so well, not vote numbers alone. he did was, you could see it in cbs poll, their panel of uncommitted voters. liz: the guys and ladies in 40 40 40-yard line. >> yes, 30% said that romneycared about people about them at the beginning of the debate, by the end it was 53, almost doubles,
a new pew poll, showing mitt romney, jumping 4 points ahead. to pat goodell, a game changer, thank you for joining us, what do you make of this idea. do the debates matter or not in chances of someone winning the election? >> they do matter a great dial, this is biggest singleebate in helping a candidate since ronald reagan. it was one debate, in carter in '76 they proved people were comfortable to him becoming president. less:liz: said no more presidel debates. >> that is right,...
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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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what started as a slow trickle in polls, heading romney's way turned in to quite something else tonight. while it's not a full gusher of strong poll numbers yet for the republican nominee. things are moving his direction. across the country. mitt romney now has take an two-point lead over the president in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. 49% to 47%. for the first time since last october, romney leads in the real clear politic average of polls, the national average. the numbers 48 to 47.3. we have fox team coverage of the race for the presidency. chief white house correspondent ed henry is traveling with the president in columbus, ohio. chief political correspondent carl cameron is with the romney campaign. across the way in cuyahoga falls. >> reporter: mr. romney stormed in the buckeye state. for the first time since the democratic convention in early september, he is either tied, in some cases now leading in the polls. surging in both national and battle ground state polls the latest american research group poll shows romney ahead in colorado 50 to 46. ohio, romney at 48. to pr
what started as a slow trickle in polls, heading romney's way turned in to quite something else tonight. while it's not a full gusher of strong poll numbers yet for the republican nominee. things are moving his direction. across the country. mitt romney now has take an two-point lead over the president in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. 49% to 47%. for the first time since last october, romney leads in the real clear politic average of polls, the national average. the numbers 48 to...
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the new poll from pew research shows a big post debate bounce from romney. the broadest poll has romney with a 4 point lead four days starting with the day after the debate. the previous poll had president obama with an 8 point lead, but the swing is much more pronounced mopping women voters. now, it has the candidates tied. it's a 18 point swing, a 18 point swing, from the previous poll. and joining the company now, from the director of economic research, with the recent foundation and that's not anthony, we'll get to john in a moment. anthony, are you there? all right. john, you're an expert on all things. >> now, you are. charles: radio personality extraordinaire. >> thanks. charles: let's start first of all with the swing. were you telling people that mitt romney would win before the debate? >> oh, absolutely. mitt romney is going to win this election no doubt. charles: why? >> because reality will intervene. people vote on pocket book issues and the pocket book issues don't add up very well for president obama. charles: here is the thing though, john, t
the new poll from pew research shows a big post debate bounce from romney. the broadest poll has romney with a 4 point lead four days starting with the day after the debate. the previous poll had president obama with an 8 point lead, but the swing is much more pronounced mopping women voters. now, it has the candidates tied. it's a 18 point swing, a 18 point swing, from the previous poll. and joining the company now, from the director of economic research, with the recent foundation and that's...
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you saw the ohio poll, the cnn poll that came out today. obama 51%, romney 47%. that's within the margin of error. the new hampshire poll, wmur granite state poll now has obama 47% to 41%, back in september it was obama 54%, 39% for romney. the michigan likely voters choice is now 48%, 45% obama over romney. it was ten points in september 47%, 37%. what's going on here, james? >> i think the race has tightened since the debate. i'm a democrat, so i don't attack pollsters, fact checkers, evolutionary scientists, climate scientists or anything like that. the truth of the matter is it's tightened. the poll of polls and the national numbers seems to be around one. and we'll move on with the rest of the campaign. no sense in attacking pollsters here. no doubt that governor romney has done himself some good since that debate. and we'll see where we go from here. we can say i'm not going to attack scientists or fact checkers or pollsters. >> ari, you're not attacking fact checkers or pollsters either, are you? >> last i looked. no, wolf, that's exactly right. the debate
you saw the ohio poll, the cnn poll that came out today. obama 51%, romney 47%. that's within the margin of error. the new hampshire poll, wmur granite state poll now has obama 47% to 41%, back in september it was obama 54%, 39% for romney. the michigan likely voters choice is now 48%, 45% obama over romney. it was ten points in september 47%, 37%. what's going on here, james? >> i think the race has tightened since the debate. i'm a democrat, so i don't attack pollsters, fact checkers,...
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and this amazing surge in the poll for romney. pugh, gallup, you name it, they are saying nothing but nice things about governor romney. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is president obama better do more than just make a few jokes at a fund-raiser out in los angeles. lou: was that a joke? >> she did say he was having an off night and not a stellar performance. lou: let's share thi self-deprecating humor. i'm going to call everybody's caught the president's laughing and used face as he says this. see how much fun you thought the president was having as he made this self-deprecating joke. >> everybody here is an incredible professional, such great friends. they just performed flawlessly night after night. i can always say the same. [laughter] lou: did you see hm cracking up? he can barely control himself. >> his idea of settles humor. i mean, what can he do? lou: the great one is so new ones that we cannot detected. >> at least he acknowledged that he has a problem. lou: what do you think? >> well, his surrogates are out there
and this amazing surge in the poll for romney. pugh, gallup, you name it, they are saying nothing but nice things about governor romney. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is president obama better do more than just make a few jokes at a fund-raiser out in los angeles. lou: was that a joke? >> she did say he was having an off night and not a stellar performance. lou: let's share thi self-deprecating humor. i'm going to call everybody's caught the president's laughing and used...
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the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's pleased with the numbers. joining us now, jim acosta with the romney campaign in newport news, virginia and on the phone, dan lothian with president obama's campaign. jim, you're on the trail with the romney campaign. what's the reaction to the latest polling, because republicans were complaining about these polls as soon as last week. now the poll is good news for them. are they complaining? >> well, anderson, i have to tell you i just saw mitt romney standing out in a drenching rain in newport news just a couple hours ago and he still had a smile on his face. they're pretty happy. they
the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's...
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let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost always happens the challenger goes up for a while in the polls but then goes back down. he think it would have much effect on the election and i tend to agree with him. >> that is if the candidate, if the president of the united states, comes back with a different game plan. what do you think he needs to do in the next debate he didn't do in the first debate? >> well, the bottom line is, i think that he is a fighter. i think he will come to the conclusion that he let romney get away with a little too much trying to be very presidential, and i don't think you'll see the same thing in the next debate. >> let's talk a
let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost...
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. >> 18 point swing in one poll is huge. >> if we were to see that number confirmed by other poll, romney would be the favorite but it's not what we're seeing in the bulk of data. sometimes there can be a tendency to take a big headline number, when we're getting 15 or 20 polls released. if romney is doing that well among women, we will see the result confirmed by other polls quite soon. >> his people also believe that he did well from the debate independents, men, the elderly in particular. that's what their own internal polling is showing. would you agree with that? >> in the debate he was able to reposition himself toward the center of the electorate. last time we talked about, this is something very strange where romney has been playing to the base, even to some extent at his convention, he was doing that. but he shifted towards the center and obama was a little bit feeble in trying to rebut that. that's an important factor. historically candidates who can appear to be in the middle of the electorate tend to win and those on the wings tend to lose. that was a big strategic gain romney
. >> 18 point swing in one poll is huge. >> if we were to see that number confirmed by other poll, romney would be the favorite but it's not what we're seeing in the bulk of data. sometimes there can be a tendency to take a big headline number, when we're getting 15 or 20 polls released. if romney is doing that well among women, we will see the result confirmed by other polls quite soon. >> his people also believe that he did well from the debate independents, men, the elderly...
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says -- polls show mitt romney is a few points ahead of president obama. when we come back, we look at the tar sands, the well-known star sands pipeline going from alberta down to the gulf of mexico. but what about tar sands right here in the u.s.? we just came back from moab, utah yesterday, and we will talk about what this means. stay with us. ♪ [music break] >> this is "democracy now!," democracynow.org, the war and peace report. i'm amy goodman. we're on the road in durango, colorado. with less than 30 days before the election, we turn to look at tar sands oil -- the subject of promises by both major presidential campaigns, even if they avoid the issue of climate change. on monday, paul ryan vowed to approve the keystone pipeline that would run the thick crude oil from canada to the u.s. refineries in taxes. addressing supporters in ohio, he said if elected, romney would approve the pipeline on his first day in office and land president obama for standing in the way of jobs the project would bring. -- and blamed president obama for standing in the wa
says -- polls show mitt romney is a few points ahead of president obama. when we come back, we look at the tar sands, the well-known star sands pipeline going from alberta down to the gulf of mexico. but what about tar sands right here in the u.s.? we just came back from moab, utah yesterday, and we will talk about what this means. stay with us. ♪ [music break] >> this is "democracy now!," democracynow.org, the war and peace report. i'm amy goodman. we're on the road in...
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poll shows a obama with a 50% lead over romney in virginia. with 3% still undecided, it is grabs.p for with 28 days to go and two more well,ential debates as the candidates are crisscrossing .he country thuman is live in arlington with the latest from the campaign trail. >> it that were giving out passports stems, these guys entire book just for virginia. when it comes to knocking on doors, making phone calls, and bothng voter contacts, well surpassed y did in 2008. >> we will win virginia again. >> thank you, virginia. >> practically virginia point,ce at this obama and mitt romney stops,ing frequent interviews, and always bleeding. find at leastto alwaysson who voted -- pleading. >> the race is narrowing by the day. sizablearch shows the ind for president obama september has vanished. suddenly there is a four point lead for romney. mitt romney is for the first time personalizing his pitches. >> i was serving as a pastor in my church. d son had beenol diagnosed with leukemia. as time went on, it became very clear there would not be a cure, , b
poll shows a obama with a 50% lead over romney in virginia. with 3% still undecided, it is grabs.p for with 28 days to go and two more well,ential debates as the candidates are crisscrossing .he country thuman is live in arlington with the latest from the campaign trail. >> it that were giving out passports stems, these guys entire book just for virginia. when it comes to knocking on doors, making phone calls, and bothng voter contacts, well surpassed y did in 2008. >> we will win...
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romney had surged in the tracking poll. the two candidates were actually tied in the three days immediately after the debate, but the president seems to have wiped out romney's gains in the gallup poll. joining me right now are howard fineman, editorial director of the "huffington post," and the honorable michael nutter, mayor of philadelphia and presidential surrogate in this tough campaign. gentlemen, thank you for joining us. always go to the elected official first. mr. mayor, what needs to be done right now to right this ship, to get obama back on a winning course? >> well, the president is on a winning course and as you laid out earlier, chris, with all the things that mitt romney either lied about or denied about -- what we call that in philadelphia is just lying, denying, and alibiing. and if that's what you're going to spend your time doing and focus on style, then you'll have a pretty decent night. president obama is focused on substance. let me give you three quick numbers here, chris, which i think ultimately is
romney had surged in the tracking poll. the two candidates were actually tied in the three days immediately after the debate, but the president seems to have wiped out romney's gains in the gallup poll. joining me right now are howard fineman, editorial director of the "huffington post," and the honorable michael nutter, mayor of philadelphia and presidential surrogate in this tough campaign. gentlemen, thank you for joining us. always go to the elected official first. mr. mayor, what...
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the latest poll shows romney leads, now up four points between the likely voters, but a new gallup poll shows the president up by five. looking to capitalize on his momentum, today, romney tried to frame himself as a steady commander-in-chief, and in what his campaign feels is a major foreign policy speech, accusing president obama of weak leadership. >> i know that president obama hopes for a stronger and more prosperous middle east, but hope is not a strategy. >> reporter: and calling for a change of course, but offering few new policy details, romney argued that the middle east is a more dangerous place since the president took office, citing serious civil war. romney said he would support our allies against the rebels the potential of a nuclear iran, and last month's terrorist attack in libya, that left four americans, including the u.s. ambassador, dead. >> it is our responsibility, and the responsibility of the president to use his greatest power to shape history, not to lead from behind. >> reporter: the obama campaign was quick with a rebuttal, they talked about specifics. >> no
the latest poll shows romney leads, now up four points between the likely voters, but a new gallup poll shows the president up by five. looking to capitalize on his momentum, today, romney tried to frame himself as a steady commander-in-chief, and in what his campaign feels is a major foreign policy speech, accusing president obama of weak leadership. >> i know that president obama hopes for a stronger and more prosperous middle east, but hope is not a strategy. >> reporter: and...
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now that it romney's post debate bounce is fading, we'll probably hear it again. the latest poll shows obama's lead widening to 5 points again. the president was shoring up the vote. he dedicated a moment to cesar chavez. >> where there had once been despair, cesar gave workers a reason to hope. it's people. more than higher wages or better working conditions. that was cesar's gift to us. a reminder that we are all god's children. >> president obama dedicating a monument to cesar chavez. let's bring in ari melber. great to have you with us tonight. president obama is not taking his lead or his strength from the hispanic community. he wants more. playing to his base, how smart a strategy is it? >> i think it's smart and i think what the president has to do right now is get out there and get into the fight. i think people want to see him talking to voters, talking about the unemployment numbers, which as you pointed out, are improving. still tough out there, but the best in four years. and i think that's the thing about the debates. they happen, but on the ground, t
now that it romney's post debate bounce is fading, we'll probably hear it again. the latest poll shows obama's lead widening to 5 points again. the president was shoring up the vote. he dedicated a moment to cesar chavez. >> where there had once been despair, cesar gave workers a reason to hope. it's people. more than higher wages or better working conditions. that was cesar's gift to us. a reminder that we are all god's children. >> president obama dedicating a monument to cesar...
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three days of polling after the debate, take a look, romney polling even with the president, erasing a five-point deficit. but then friday's strong jobs report could turn that around. i'm joined now by gallup poll editor in chief frank newport. frank, good to see you. good morning. >> good morning! >> okay, so, let me know what you think. how's the race shaping up? how much have we seen? how much have you been able to poll up to this point? >> boy, we're studying the numbers. in fact, we're just looking at the numbers from last night, which we're adding to our rolling average which we will report out at 1:00 today at gallup.com. our view of the race is that romney definitely got a significant boost on thursday and friday of last week. and by the way, that's probably what was picked up for the most part in that pew poll that was discussed. >> okay. >> but when we monitor our data from saturday and sunday, and now just looking at the numbers from last night, obama is picking back up again. so, we think that that continuation of a huge move by romney is not in the data. so, overall, we
three days of polling after the debate, take a look, romney polling even with the president, erasing a five-point deficit. but then friday's strong jobs report could turn that around. i'm joined now by gallup poll editor in chief frank newport. frank, good to see you. good morning. >> good morning! >> okay, so, let me know what you think. how's the race shaping up? how much have we seen? how much have you been able to poll up to this point? >> boy, we're studying the numbers....
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. >> a new poll showing romney slightly ahead. >> the new poll. >> conservatives are saying we're not going fight with him now. we're going to wait until after the election. >> cenk: now, you all remember the good ol' days, before the first presidential debate when president obama was comfortably up. in a gallup poll he was up by five points. and a certain talk show host made this prediction. >> so barring a major miracle i'm calling the election right now. it's already over. >> cenk: oops. the gallup poll out today 47%-47%. for those of you math-challenged, that would be a tie. what did i say again? it's already over. >> cenk: oh, boy. now, that was just one poll. i have other polls for you. gallup as i just showed you the 47-47 post debate. rasmussen 49-47 but that's rasmussen. polite co-,an one-point lead for president obama. when you put that all together it is not good news. what did i say again? >> it's already over. >> cenk: oops. okay, it gets worse. pew out today. 45-49--the fore four-point lead--disaster. what did that idiot say? >> cenk: it's already over. >> cenk: 12 diffe
. >> a new poll showing romney slightly ahead. >> the new poll. >> conservatives are saying we're not going fight with him now. we're going to wait until after the election. >> cenk: now, you all remember the good ol' days, before the first presidential debate when president obama was comfortably up. in a gallup poll he was up by five points. and a certain talk show host made this prediction. >> so barring a major miracle i'm calling the election right now. it's...
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new polls released just hours ago show a post debate surge for mitt romney. but does he have enough momentum to win the whole thing? >>> plus, breaking news. the state department now says there was no protest over a controversial film on the night the ambassador to libya was murdered. no protest outside the benghazi consulate. >>> and the u.s. military says it doesn't need to refurbish hundreds of tanks. so why is $3 billion being spent now to update those tanks? it's an "outfront" investigation. let's go "outfront." >>> good evening, everyone, i'm erin burnett. and "outfront" tonight, romney dodges, obama spins. it's sort of a new dance move. dodge and spin. while the republican candidate just spoke with our wolf blitzer and when wolf asked him to get specific on tax cuts, here's what happened. >> even though you're going to lower the income tax rates for people making let's say more than $250,000 a year, but you're going to eliminate some loopholes and deductions, exemptions, tax credits, is that what i'm hearing? >> that's right. i'll bring the rate down a
new polls released just hours ago show a post debate surge for mitt romney. but does he have enough momentum to win the whole thing? >>> plus, breaking news. the state department now says there was no protest over a controversial film on the night the ambassador to libya was murdered. no protest outside the benghazi consulate. >>> and the u.s. military says it doesn't need to refurbish hundreds of tanks. so why is $3 billion being spent now to update those tanks? it's an...
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. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see, you know, two more debates, we're going to see more speeches, may see oscar the grouch get involved, who knows. but so, you know, plenty of time. if mitt romney, you know, could survive three bad weeks after the 47% video, the president can survive a bad debate performance and after the next one, whatever happened in the first time, won't matter. he may not -- he may do worse, may do better but won't matter anymore after the next two debates. >> also, to your point about graphs there is a an interesting graph in t"the new york times" when incumbents win and
. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see,...